Roland Garros Betting Preview: Karen Khachanov vs. Tommy Paul

The French Open 2025 continues with an intriguing third-round matchup between Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul. While Paul is coming off a dramatic comeback victory, concerns about his fitness and recovery give Khachanov the edge in this battle on clay. Explore the key statistics, betting angles, and predictions for this exciting Roland Garros clash.

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Hahsitha

5/30/20251 min read

Khachanov vs. Paul: Key Betting Preview for Roland Garros

Paul’s Gutsy Comeback & Injury Woes

Tommy Paul delivered an incredible second-round performance, fighting back from two sets down to defeat Marton Fucsovics in a grueling three-hour and 38-minute battle. However, his lower abdominal issues were evident, raising concerns about his endurance against a tough opponent like Khachanov.

Despite his ability to play aggressively—as demonstrated in his clash with Jannik Sinner in Rome—Paul’s defensive game is crucial to his success. If mobility becomes a problem, overcoming Khachanov’s big serve and powerful baseline play could be a tall order.

Khachanov’s Strengths on Clay

Khachanov himself endured a five-set battle against Sebastian Ofner, but the Russian’s fitness remains less of a concern than Paul’s. Given his strong serving, two-handed backhand, and ability to redirect shots down the line, Khachanov poses a difficult matchup for Paul, especially if the American is struggling physically.

While Paul leads their head-to-head series 2-0, including a victory in Madrid on April 29, the slower, grittier clay conditions at Roland Garros demand superior endurance and adaptability—two areas where Khachanov has the upper hand.

Betting Trends & Predictions

Khachanov’s power and conditioning favor him in a long, physical battle.
Paul’s injury concerns make him a risky bet, despite his talent.
Slower clay conditions work in Khachanov’s favor, as he can grind out points.
Head-to-head history might suggest Paul has an edge, but two matches aren’t enough to establish a strong advantage.

Prediction: Khachanov Wins in Four Sets

While Paul’s ability to play aggressively and take risks makes him a dangerous opponent, his fitness concerns could prove decisive. Khachanov is likely to outlast him physically, securing a four-set victory and advancing deeper into the French Open 2025.

Final Thoughts: A Test of Endurance and Strategy

This matchup is poised to be a war of attrition, with fitness and adaptability playing a major role. Can Paul fight through his injury, or will Khachanov capitalize on the physical edge?

Share your predictions below! Will the Russian advance, or will the American defy the odds? 🚀🎾